A comprehensive examination of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust must begin with an examination of the patterns underlying Bitcoin. Because trust cannot be developed in the absence of a BTC bull run, it is essential to study current BTC occurrences before delving further into Grayscale Bitcoin Trust.
BTC dropped in early May as a result of a perfect storm of negative ESG statements made by celebrity CEO Elon Musk, as well as a significant Chinese restriction on hash power. Musk’s FUD is disregarded as a result of his seeming boredom and desire to entertain himself.
The real change in power occurred at the hands of the Chinese government, which once again rejected freedom and severely punished any organization that dared to question the Communist Party’s rule.
I believe the selling frenzy was fueled by a mix of forced liquidation by traders who had leveraged themselves out of a job and the money required to transfer miners from the Chinese area. Due to the high expense of relocating a large-scale mining operation, it is likely that more BTC was sold to finance the relocation, putting further pressure on the market.
The Chinese government’s prohibition on cryptocurrency mining has resulted in a significant drop in Bitcoin’s difficulty factor. The network automatically changes the difficulty level of mining a new currency in accordance with the amount of available hash power.
Every 2,016 blocks, the change happens, ensuring the network’s health. The most recent difficulty adjustment was raised by 6.03 percent, halting the precipitous decline momentarily.
Elon Musk FUD
Finally, the adult in the room was forced to flex her muscles and restore order to the tumultuous cryptocurrency markets. Cathie Wood of ARK funds should be praised for her foresight in hosting The B Word’s first episode.
Wood deftly teamed Musk with Bitcoin pioneer Jack Dorsey for a frank debate about Bitcoin. Musk expressed his support for Bitcoin in his trademark humorous manner, while Dorsey kept a calm, relaxed demeanor. The B Word was a vibrant event that served as a watershed moment for BTC.
I postponed releasing an update to give myself sufficient time to see whether Bitcoin can break over the top of its current three-month trading range. If the bounce does not succeed in doing so, it suggests that the bounce was just a successful retest of the low with a failure at the top.
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This arrangement implies a much longer duration of sideways movement. BTC, on the other hand, has breached the barrier and is now trading at well over $44K at the time of writing.
Bear in mind that owing to the fixed supply and continual reduction in new supply as a result of periodic halving, BTC is ideally suited for continuing price appreciation as the commodity gets more difficult to acquire, which is why we are aggressively HODLing.
Profiting from Grayscale Bitcoin Trust
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is an excellent method for people who are limited in their ability to buy crypto assets to get exposure, but it is not my favorite. My tepid support is due to the system’s one-of-a-kind trust structure. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is a trust that lacks the redemption feature found in most exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
If an ETF ever falls below its net asset value, an investor may demand the equivalent in shares, ensuring that the ETF stays close to its net asset value. A Grayscale Bitcoin Trust speculator cannot get his or her hand on BTC. Worse, the administration charge is paid via a monthly decrease in the amount of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust represented by each share.
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is now selling at a discount of 7% to its net asset value, continuing a trend that started in late February. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust used to trade at a significant premium to net asset value prior to turning negative, but those days are long gone now that Canada has launched a slew of BTC pure play ETFs that have, in my opinion, stolen some of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust’s thunder.
My interest in Grayscale Bitcoin Trust stems entirely from its large Bitcoin holdings. I think that a Bitcoin ETF with a US domicile will become available in the future, most likely around 2022.
Due to its existing assets, Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is well-positioned for such an event. If a new company enters the market and purchases the coins, the price will skyrocket, triggering a wave of excessive speculation. As a result, I think Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is the most likely fund to get ETF certification, as it has already said that it would convert if permitted.
Potentially Dangerous Factors Involving Grayscale Bitcoin Trust
The majority of people are aware of the risks associated with investing in a novel asset class such as cryptocurrency. There is no need to add anything that has not been mentioned previously. I’d want to call attention to recent developments in Washington, particularly in the Senate.
Several Senators have incurred the wrath of the crypto lobby by attempting to impose additional regulations/taxes on the sector in order to help pay for the infrastructure package. One of the first changes would require the mining industry to identify its clients, which would be difficult to do. Senators Lummis and Wyden, among others, have voiced support for the cryptocurrency community, although the ultimate result is unclear as of this writing.
China’s decision to prohibit cryptocurrency mining resulted in a decline in hash power, which may be matched by stringent US laws. A large-scale incident would be detrimental to the sector as a whole, with the value of all cryptos, not just Bitcoin, virtually certainly falling.
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